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Place a measured axial length on a published centile chart for age and sex, then model refractive trajectory scenarios as a separate, optional step.
This is an educational instrument. It is not an automated diagnosis, not an individual prognosis and not a treatment recommendation. Axial length is never converted into dioptres.
Fill in age, sex and the prescription values, then run the analysis. Axial length is optional and produces a separate centile read-out.
A centile cannot be obtained for a younger child by extrapolating curves that describe older children. The measurements are shown without a centile.
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The centile follows from the entered biometry and does not change when a therapy scenario is selected. Colour indicates position in the reference distribution — it is not a diagnosis and not an indication for any specific therapy.
A centile places the axial length against children of the same sex and similar age in the reference population. A result on the 90th centile means the measurement is larger than in roughly 90% of that reference group.
One measurement does not show a rate of progression. Assessing dynamics requires repeat measurements taken under comparable conditions.
A high centile is not a diagnosis on its own. Its meaning depends on cycloplegic refraction, earlier measurements, the rate of ocular growth and examination of ocular structures.
Age-banded baseline rate plus the parental-history addition of 0.00 D, −0.15 D or −0.30 D per year.
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How to read the chart: solid markers show the entered prescription. Dashed lines show two model scenarios. The scale runs from 0 to −18 D, so increasing myopia moves upwards. Axial length is not part of this simulation and is never converted into dioptres.
Select one method or combine two. The trajectory above recalculates immediately. Each percentage is an explicit model parameter drawn from published syntheses, not a measured effect for an individual child.
Permitted combinations in this model: defocus optics + RLRL, and defocus optics + atropine 0.01%. Concurrent RLRL and atropine requires special attention →
Progressive myopia can reach high myopia and raise the risk of sight-threatening complications, including retinal detachment, myopic maculopathy and glaucoma. Refractive value alone does not diagnose pathological myopia — biometry and examination of ocular structures are required.
{{ assumptionSummary }} The coefficients harmonise results reported in dioptres and in millimetres of axial elongation without converting millimetres into dioptres. They are scenario parameters, not a guarantee of clinical effect, and they are held in one place so they can be audited and replaced when a source set is agreed.
Basis: IMI — Interventions for Controlling Myopia Onset and Progression 2025; Cochrane living systematic review 2025, CD014758; Luo et al. 2025, RLRL + DIMS, doi:10.1016/j.pdpdt.2025.104681.